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Majority Wants Two-State Solution: Poll Shows

Prime MInister Ersin Tatar

Prime Minister Ersin Tatar would win if he stood as a candidate in the April 2020 presidential elections, a recent poll has found. The poll also show that the majority of respondents would prefer to have two separate states to solve the Cyprus problem.

According to a poll run by Gezici, held between 26-28 October, Ersin Tatar, leader of the UBP would be in the lead in the first round of elections with 33.9% of the votes. Incumbent President Mustafa Akinci would follow with 28.2%, leader of the Republican Turkish Party (CTP) with 19.7%, chairman of the People’s Party (HP) Kudret Ozersay with 10.5%, leader of the Revival Party (YDP) with 4% and deputy of the Democratic Party (DP) Serdar Denktaş with 3.7%.

Asked who they would vote for in a second round of votes, respondents said:

Tatar 44.7%

Akinci 37.2%

Undecided 18.1%

It would appear that Tatar would win the presidential elections against all his possible rivals in the second round. However, Akinci would appear to lose against Tatar, but would win if he survived a second round against Ozersay or Erhurman. If Erhurman and Ozersay survived to the second round, leader of the CTP Erhurman would beat HP chairman Ozersay.

Asked which party they would vote for in parliamentary elections, respondents said:

UBP 42.6%

CTP 25.3%

HP 11.9%

TDP 6%

TKP-YG 1.9%

DP 4.8%

YDP 6.1%

MDP 1.4%

Asked what kind of solution proposal should be submitted for the Cyprus problem, 78.6% said two separate states, 16.3% said federation with the Greek Cypriots and 5.3% said confederation.

Additionally, 83.2% of the participants said Turkey’s guarantees should remain in place, 3.7% said they should be annulled, 3.9% said the UN and EU should be guarantors and 9.2% were undecided.

Furthermore, 85.5% of the participants stated that they did not want the withdrawal of the Turkish army from the island and 9.25% said that they wanted the Turkish army to withdraw. 5.35% said that they were undecided on this issue.

Asked whether they believed that there would be an agreement on the Cyprus problem, 82.65% said no and only 13.2% said yes. 87.1% said that the Greek Cypriots did not want a solution.

Asked whether President Akinci had made any concessions with which they disagreed during the Cyprus talks, 60.5% of the participants in the survey said yes and 30.9% said no. Asked on which issue was this concession that bothered them, 25.2% replied on the guarantees, 20.6% on the return of Guzelyurt/Morfou, 13% on the annulment of the Turkish Cypriot veto, 20.2% on the withdrawal of the Turkish army from the island and 21% on all issues.

Gunes

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